IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#212
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.7	#29
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#158

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#277

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.0%	10.3%	3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	12.8	14.0

.500 or above	36.7%	69.5%	35.4%
.500 or above in Conference	43.9%	67.6%	42.9%
Conference Champion	4.7%	13.4%	4.4%
Last Place in Conference	11.1%	5.2%	11.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
First Round	4.0%	9.9%	3.7%
Second Round	0.3%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 5	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	21	@ Michigan	L	63-82	4%
Nov 12, 2019	203	East Carolina	W	80-77	59%
Nov 15, 2019	310	Tennessee Tech	W	79-73	71%
Nov 16, 2019	279	Montana St.	W	86-82	63%
Nov 18, 2019	96	@ UNC Greensboro	L	70-80	18%
Nov 21, 2019	276	Charlotte	W	75-69	71%
Nov 26, 2019	71	@ East Tennessee St.	L	72-85	12%
Dec 14, 2019	337	@ Howard	W	86-80	70%
Dec 19, 2019	138	@ South Alabama	L	74-81	26%
Dec 21, 2019	297	@ Troy	W	78-76	55%
Dec 29, 2019	22	@ North Carolina St.	L	75-94	5%
Jan 02, 2020	162	Georgia St.	W	81-80	50%
Jan 04, 2020	122	Georgia Southern	L	84-87	39%
Jan 06, 2020	202	Louisiana	W	86-84	57%
Jan 09, 2020	135	@ Texas Arlington	L	71-79	26%
Jan 11, 2020	156	@ Texas St.	L	69-75	29%
Jan 16, 2020	271	Arkansas St.	W	82-76	70%
Jan 18, 2020	220	Arkansas Little Rock	W	81-78	61%
Jan 25, 2020	172	@ Coastal Carolina	L	78-83	33%
Jan 30, 2020	271	@ Arkansas St.	W	80-79	51%
Feb 01, 2020	220	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	78-81	41%
Feb 06, 2020	135	Texas Arlington	L	74-76	45%
Feb 08, 2020	156	Texas St.	L	72-73	48%
Feb 13, 2020	162	@ Georgia St.	L	77-83	31%
Feb 15, 2020	122	@ Georgia Southern	L	81-90	23%
Feb 20, 2020	138	South Alabama	L	77-78	46%
Feb 22, 2020	297	Troy	W	81-73	73%
Feb 29, 2020	172	Coastal Carolina	W	81-80	52%
Mar 03, 2020	223	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	76-79	42%
Projected Record						13 - 16	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1		4.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.2	1.9	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0				5.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.7	2.8	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0					6.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	2.2	3.3	1.7	0.3	0.1							7.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.4	3.9	2.0	0.3	0.0	0.0							8.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.1	4.1	2.4	0.4	0.0									9.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	2.1	4.7	2.6	0.3	0.0										10.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.0	4.3	2.9	0.5	0.0											10.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.3	3.9	2.8	0.6	0.0												10.0	9th
10th				0.1	0.7	2.3	4.1	2.6	0.5	0.0													10.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.1	2.5	2.9	2.1	0.4	0.0														9.3	11th
12th	0.2	0.7	1.6	2.2	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0															7.2	12th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.8	3.3	4.8	6.4	8.9	9.3	10.0	10.7	9.9	9.2	7.7	6.0	4.4	3.0	1.8	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	98.5%	0.5		0.5	0.0
17-3	86.7%	0.9		0.8	0.1	0.0
16-4	63.5%	1.2		0.7	0.4	0.1
15-5	35.9%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-6	14.5%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.8	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		85.2%	85.2%		10.7								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
19-1	0.2%		57.6%	53.5%	4.1%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		8.8%
18-2	0.5%		40.5%	37.6%	2.9%	12.3								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		4.6%
17-3	1.1%		33.4%	32.6%	0.7%	12.9											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.7		1.1%
16-4	1.8%		26.2%	25.8%	0.4%	13.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0		1.3		0.5%
15-5	3.0%		23.2%	23.2%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	2.3
14-6	4.4%		14.7%	14.7%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	3.7
13-7	6.0%		10.2%	10.2%		14.6														0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	5.4
12-8	7.7%		5.0%	5.0%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	7.3
11-9	9.2%		2.3%	2.3%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	9.0
10-10	9.9%		1.5%	1.5%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	9.8
9-11	10.7%		0.6%	0.6%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.6
8-12	10.0%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	10.0
7-13	9.3%		0.1%	0.1%		15.2																0.0	0.0	9.3
6-14	8.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
5-15	6.4%																							6.4
4-16	4.8%																							4.8
3-17	3.3%																							3.3
2-18	1.8%																							1.8
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.0%	4.0%	0.0%	13.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.1	0.4	96.0		0.0%